@seongminparkkor · Profile Updated: False#Samsung ($SSNLF / 005930.KS) DS vs. #SKHynix ($HXSCL / 000660.KS) 3Q26 margin audit: • Samsung DS OPM: 72.4% (106.5T OP) • Samsung Memory Cap: <=75.7% (at 0 Foundry OP) • SK Hynix OPM: 79.7% (+7.3pp edge) 4.2x–5.0x Fwd P/E vs $MU $NVDA $TSM.
Korea AI supply-chain 3Q26 DART filings: • #Daeduck (353200.KS): 21.0% OPM (+259% YoY OP, 16.6x Ann. OP) • #TCK (064760.KQ): 27.5% OPM (17.8x Ann. OP) • #RaonRobotics (232680.KQ): +596% QoQ OP (11.2x Ann. OP) Fab tailwind with $LRCX $AMAT $ASML.
Korea Value-Up DART audit: Share burn vs. wage disposal: • #BGFEco (126600.KQ): -6.00% share burn (0.45x P/B) • #JVM (054950.KQ): -3.20% share burn (9.33x P/E) • #Kia ($KIMTF) & #HyundaiMobis: 223.95B KRW treasury shares re-issued Governance filter for $EWY.
Nov 2 KRX live DART earnings & buyback audit: • #DICorp (003160.KS, HBM tester): 3Q OP +493% YoY (4.97x Ann. OP) • #POSCOIntl (047050.KS): 3Q net +91.6% YoY (5.59x Ann. OP) • #HyundaiFuturenet: -2.24% burn (0.48x P/B) $HXSCL $NVDA $MU $EWY
$TSM TSMC (2330.TW) 3Q26 filing audit: • Revenue: $46.72B (+16.2% QoQ, +41.2% YoY) • Margins: 66.4% GM, 58.7% OPM • 2nm (N2) Share: 8% of wafer rev (vs 3% in 2Q) • Valuation: 26.97x P/E (~0.61x PEG) Core foundry for $NVDA $AVGO $AMD.
Big Tech 3Q26 10-Q CapEx vs. Operating Cash Flow: • Combined CapEx: $201.9B (+108% YoY, 115.1% of OCF) • $AMZN: 178.9% of OCF (19.0x P/E) • $GOOGL: 121.4% of OCF (14.4x P/E) • $MSFT: 67.9% (29.1x P/E) | $META: 106.5% (20.8x P/E)
Why headline Operating Profit misleads in 3Q26 DART filings: • #HLMando (204320.KS): +51.5B OP -> -41.2B Pre-Tax loss (2.2% OPM) • #Suprema (236200.KQ): 17.3% core OPM at 7.07x P/E • #Satrec (099320.KQ): 3Q OP +503% QoQ $EWY
3Q26 CapEx Cycle Check (Rev Growth minus D&A Growth): • #SKHynix ($HXSCL / 000660.KS): +133.0pp spread (4.17x Fwd P/E) • $TSM: +8.8pp spread (27.0x P/E) • $TSLA: -8.4pp inverted (Rev +21.4% vs D&A +29.8%, 370.1x P/E) $NVDA $MU
The 3Q26 AI Supply-Chain Valuation Paradox: • #SKHynix ($HXSCL / 000660.KS): 80.0% OPM — 4.17x Fwd P/E • $TSM: 58.7% OPM — 26.97x P/E (~0.61x PEG) • $TSLA: 2.6% GAAP OPM — 370.14x P/E Upstream bottlenecks ($HXSCL $TSM $NVDA $MU) capture the cash flow.
$TSLA 3Q26 Form 10-Q Note 11 footnote audit: • Reported GAAP OP: $718M (2.6% OPM) • One-Time Note 11 IEEPA Tariff Refunds: $739M • Auto Ex-Credit GM Ex-Refund: ~16.8% (vs 18.1% reported) • Energy GM Ex-Refund: ~23.8% (vs 33.1% reported) Core OP was -$21M at 370.1x P/E.
$AAPL Capital-Light AI vs. Hyperscaler CapEx audit: • $AAPL Cash CapEx/Rev: 2.24% (39.66x P/E, $5.03T cap) • $AMZN CapEx/Rev: 27.02% (19.00x P/E) • $GOOGL CapEx/Rev: 37.50% (14.44x P/E) • $MSFT: 39.78% | $META: 49.53% Apple's FCF shield is fully priced at ~40x P/E.
3Q26 AI Capital-Cycle Cash Flow Audit (CapEx as % of OCF): • #SKHynix ($HXSCL / 000660.KS): 21.8% CapEx/OCF (+47.3T KRW FCF) • $TSM: 37.9% CapEx/OCF ($15.97B 3Q FCF) • US Hyperscalers ($GOOGL $AMZN $MSFT $META): 115.1% CapEx/OCF Self-funded compounders win.
3-Step Forensic Footnote Checklist for 3Q26 Earnings: • Step 1: Strip one-off GM credits ($TSLA Note 11 $739M tariff refund) • Step 2: Bridge Operating Profit to Pre-Tax FX swings (DART K-IFRS) • Step 3: Separate true share retirement from employee grants ($TSM $NVDA)
October 2026 FOMC Statement & Treasury Curve Audit: • Fed Funds: 3.75%–4.00% hold (10–2 vote; 2 hike dissents) • Growth Wording: Upgraded to 'strong' (Q3 GDP 3.4%) • Yields: 10Y UST at 5.05%, 30Y at 5.37% Favors low-P/E net-cash leaders ($SPY $QQQ $TLT).